{"id":6908,"date":"2023-10-30T02:37:07","date_gmt":"2023-10-30T02:37:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/inbudgetalerts.com\/news\/imperial-petroleum-weak-quarter-but-upgrading-on-share-buybacks-nasdaqimpp\/"},"modified":"2023-10-30T02:37:08","modified_gmt":"2023-10-30T02:37:08","slug":"imperial-petroleum-weak-quarter-but-upgrading-on-share-buybacks-nasdaqimpp","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/inbudgetalerts.com\/?p=6908","title":{"rendered":"Imperial Petroleum: Weak Quarter But Upgrading On Share Buybacks (NASDAQ:IMPP)"},"content":{"rendered":"<div data-test-id=\"content-container\">\n<figure class=\"getty-figure\" data-type=\"getty-image\"><picture>  <\/picture><figcaption> <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2>Note:<\/h2>\n<p><em>I have covered Imperial Petroleum (<span class=\"ticker-hover-wrapper\">NASDAQ:IMPP<\/span>, <span class=\"ticker-hover-wrapper\">NASDAQ:IMPPP<\/span>) previously, so investors should view this as an update to my<\/em> <em>earlier articles<\/em> <em>on the company.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Last week, Imperial Petroleum reported very weak third quarter results as fleet utilization suffered from an<span class=\"paywall-full-content invisible\"> elevated number of dry-dockings as well as seasonally weaker demand.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible\">In addition, revenues and cash generation were impacted by the sale of the Aframax tanker <em>Stealth Berana<\/em> (now renamed <em>Afrapearl II<\/em>) to recent spin-off C3is Inc. or &#8220;C3is&#8221; (CISS) in July.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"regular-img-figure paywall-full-content invisible\" contenteditable=\"false\"><picture> <span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/inbudgetalerts.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/769697-1698347451353981.png\" alt=\"Key Financial Metrics\" contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/span> <\/picture><figcaption>\n<p class=\"item-caption\"><span>Press Releases \/ Regulatory Filings<\/span><\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible\">Nevertheless, the company still managed to generate almost $10 million in cash flow from operations which in combination with the initial down payment received from C3is for the <em>Stealth Berana<\/em> and net proceeds from the August equity and warrant offering resulted in cash and short-term investments to increase by $27.3 million sequentially to $125.9<span class=\"paywall-full-content no-summary-bullets invisible\"> million.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">The company continues to have no debt.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">However, Imperial Petroleum&#8217;s cash position is expected to take a $70+ million hit in Q1\/2024 with the delivery of two tankers acquired substantially above market value in the company&#8217;s worst related-party dealing to date.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">In recent months, the company and particularly CEO and controlling shareholder Harry Vafias have come under increased pressure from market participants to abstain from further dilutive offerings.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">The abysmal performance of Imperial Petroleum&#8217;s common shares even resulted in an angered investor crashing the former parent StealthGas&#8217; (GASS) most recent conference call:<\/p>\n<figure class=\"regular-img-figure paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\" contenteditable=\"false\"><picture> <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/inbudgetalerts.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/769697-16986088385634403.png\" alt=\"GASS CC Quote\" contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\"> <\/picture><figcaption>\n<p class=\"item-caption\"><span>Seeking Alpha Transcript<\/span><\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Apparently, Imperial Petroleum has started to reverse course in recent weeks as the company announced a $10 million share repurchase program in early September and subsequently bought back almost 5% of its outstanding shares at an average price of approximately $1.67.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">In addition, the company has repurchased approximately 2.58 million of out-of-the-money Class C and Class D Warrants for $0.62 million.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">However, there&#8217;s still a substantial number of potentially dilutive warrants outstanding:<\/p>\n<figure class=\"regular-img-figure paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\" contenteditable=\"false\"><picture> <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/inbudgetalerts.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/769697-16986126002190092.png\" alt=\"Warrants\" contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\"> <\/picture><figcaption>\n<p class=\"item-caption\"><span>Regulatory Filings<\/span><\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Please note that Mr. Vafias holds 13,875 of the company&#8217;s Series C Convertible Preferred Shares with an aggregate liquidation preference of $13.875 million.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">With common shares currently trading near the conversion floor price of $1.50 and mounting pressure by market participants, Mr. Vafias might be inclined to convert his preferred stock holdings into an approximately 25% common equity stake.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"regular-img-figure paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\" contenteditable=\"false\"><picture> <span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/inbudgetalerts.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/769697-16986135222621047.png\" alt=\"Series C Preferreds\" contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/span> <\/picture><figcaption>\n<p class=\"item-caption\"><span>Regulatory Filings<\/span><\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">While heavily dilutive, the move would result in Mr. Vafias becoming more aligned with common equity holders thus reducing the probability of further dilutive equity offerings substantially.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Valuation-wise, even when assuming the above-discussed Series C Preferred Stock conversion and exercise of all of the company&#8217;s outstanding Class E Warrants at a price of $2.00 per share, Imperial Petroleum&#8217;s common shares are still trading at an approximately 83% discount to estimated NAV:<\/p>\n<figure class=\"regular-img-figure paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\" contenteditable=\"false\"><picture> <span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/inbudgetalerts.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/769697-16986153438214204.png\" alt=\"NAV\" contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/span> <\/picture><figcaption>\n<p class=\"item-caption\"><span>Press Releases \/ Regulatory Filings \/ MarineTraffic.com<\/span><\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Based on my assumption for Imperial Petroleum to continue share buybacks and Mr. Vafias potentially converting his preferred shareholdings, I am upgrading the common shares from &#8220;<em>Sell<\/em>&#8221; to &#8220;<em>Speculative Buy<\/em>&#8220;.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">But given the company&#8217;s tainted past and poor corporate governance, only the most speculative investors\/traders should consider taking a position in Imperial Petroleum.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">In addition, investors should note the overhang from the Class E Warrants which would come into play should the share price eclipse $2.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Bottom Line<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Similar to peer Performance Shipping (PSHG), Imperial Petroleum appears to have reversed course as of late. Rather than diluting common shareholders even further, the company has started to buy back common shares and warrants under its recently announced $10 million repurchase program, likely due to mounting pressure from market participants.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">With additional share and warrant buybacks as well as a potential preferred stock conversion by CEO Harry Vafias providing for strong near-term catalysts, I am upgrading the common shares from &#8220;<em>Sell<\/em>&#8221; to &#8220;<em>Speculative Buy<\/em>&#8220;.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">However, given Imperial Petroleum&#8217;s tainted history and ongoing, poor corporate governance, only the most speculative investors\/traders should consider taking a position in the company&#8217;s common shares.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Editor&#8217;s Note: This article covers one or more microcap stocks. Please be aware of the risks associated with these stocks.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Read the full article <a href=\"https:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/4644906-imperial-petroleum-weak-earnings-but-upgrading-on-share-buybacks?source=feed_all_articles\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Note: I have covered Imperial Petroleum (NASDAQ:IMPP, NASDAQ:IMPPP) previously, so investors should view this as an update to my earlier articles on&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6909,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-6908","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-news"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Imperial 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